正文 Markdown
Some reads from the current Fable ban situation: - Vagueposting that a model can hack everything has consequences if you then end up releasing anyway. Saying other models also can after the fact is not enough. - Asking for regulation when you can't specify exactly what regulation has predictable consequences. - The ratchet is clearly moving towards license raj - There are many who want an implicit license raj (AISI testing with power to block) but it's the same thing in practice. It is bad. Bad for safety, since now there's no choice but to accelerate for others. - There's no way to allow models to be used "at large" going forward if the govt treats models as weapons. - This is *fantastic* for Chinese models. - The govt is ofc overstepping but honestly if you didn't expect that then you're naive! - Leopold's narrative is almost too on the nose. - Safetyists have wanted "perfect safety" as a goal, which is unachievable, and I've said a thousand times before it will backfire. This is the backfire. - This *still* assumes the old view that the individual model is the bad part and not a system, which will inevitably lead to bad governance. - This will get reversed in a bit and the model will get released (license raj), but the precedent is set. And many will say "ah this was bad but at least we got a license raj". They will be wrong. - Openai has more breathing room for a better model to be released. And they're toning down the rhetoric. This will help them. - Competition is good.